Re: 25-50 hand vs Diablo
Honestly, I don't think it matters what you do on the turn. He has a better overpair than you some of the time, and he has a draw with overcards some of the time. He has naked overcards or a weaker pair than you some of the time. It's almost impossible to judge the probability that he holds each hand as a neutral observer; it all depends on the table texture and all of those things that you can't really tell other people. Call, fold, whatever. I'd probably call because I don't lay down overpairs with 100 BB stacks in a raised pot against an aggressive good player.
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