Re: MPFD w/ heat on the flop...
9-11 outs and willing to put in 200BB's?...this is terrible.
Sure you have decent fold equity with the overbet but someone has a set here enough to wipe out all your EV. With calling I'm worried about UTG's weak lead indicating a higher FD and since he is a maniac he can have anything. I probably just call and if the flush hits on the turn I probably check to see if UTG wakes up. Implied odds here are crappy so a fold is fine too. Raising this less than AI sets us up to have to call a RRAI by sets so I don't like that either.
The rest of the discussion board usually disagrees with me on these types of hands so maybe I don't know what I'm talking about...take that into account.
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