Re: How About This Game Theory Problem
Not really Game Theory as I'm not presuming perfect play by opponent, but as noone mentioned this so far.
The abscence of prior raises implies 72 has not been dealt to other players. So the BB is slightly more likely to have 72 than usual, but on other hand there's no 'real' hands out there either it seems,so does this balance out? I've no idea [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
If we fold, then there's (2x4x4) 32 'fatal' combo's out of 2652 which cost us $200, beyond the $25 surrended.
Assuming we do not have a 7 or a 2 in our hand, there's actually 32/2450 'kills'. So I think folding, 'costs' $2.61 more than usual.
So if we know, against that player (remember they might call or fold more frequently than theoretically correct), our expecation neutral hands, are going to include all the ones that would 'cost' $2.61 as well as the break evens and up (taking into account rake).
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