[Evan]

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its less than 3 years, and it's not like tons of people that don't download music are gonna suddenly start in that time period.

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I don't think these numbers are too out of whack, but, uh, yeah i think we'll see "tons of people" start downloading that haven't.

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For a significant group of new people to jump on these technologies they're going to have to become brain dead simple. iTunes is close, Rhapsody/Napster are further away, torrents aren't even in the ballpark yet.