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Old 03-20-2007, 11:10 AM
NoahSD NoahSD is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 8,925
Default Re: NL10 - Bottom Two and Villian Leads the Turn

All,
Hero is all in on the turn... so check/folding the river is kinda silly.

OP,
Flop's actually a pretty interesting spot. My first thought was to shove because his range is like exactly 9T/TJ/TQ/9J/KQ/KJ in no particular order, and you wreck all those hands and lots of them will make bad calls (I assume).

However, a Q/J/K on the turn is such an awful card for you against his range, that you might consider peeling the flop planning to get it in on a safe turn. Since he's rarely checking the turn because nobody checks ever after they take the lead, and the pot:stack ratio has him totally committed with all those hands once he bets anything even remotely decent, this is the correct play.

Edit: As it happens he actually bet small enough to get away on the turn sometimes, but it's not like he will very often anyway.
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