Re: Why TAG is wrong - or - help me sort my brain out
One point before addressing your theory: unless a TAG loses more than the rake, she is not being exploited, she simply isn't winning enough to beat the rake. LAG just pays more rake.
The primary weakness is in your third point, which sounds good until you put numbers on it. They are not free to fold if they don't hit. In the general case, on the flop, if you don't improve and they don't improve they have 6 outs or 25% equity. Add to this that if the LAGs ever fold when they are ahead, they have big problems.
On your fourth point, when they hit you will have outs. They also have no idea where they are if they hit something small. Furthermore, when they hit and you hit, they will lose a lot.
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