I only have about 40 hands on villian he's running 20/15/2.5. I'm playing pretty nitty at this table 15/10/2 partly because I'm getting a bad run of cards and I had an 80/16 on my left for a while.
I will 4bet preflop a good amount, I chose against it because my raise came from UTG, and it was so small it felt like he wanted a call and I had no FE if I came over the top. My turn bet is so big because I'm trying to make it look like a steal in hopes that he comes back over the top. I think he considered it as he took a while to call.
Now on the river I mean I really can't fold but can I hope to ever win the whole pot here? 99 and AQ have to make up a big part of his range to push here as does another AK, and I can't imagine bluffs being more than a very small percent of his range.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed)
Hand History Converter Tool from
FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)
BB ($287.20)
Hero ($266.60)
MP ($43.85)
CO ($90)
Button ($170.30)
SB ($223.45)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">
3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $17</font>, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, Hero calls $9.
Flop: ($36) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $24</font>, Hero calls $24.
Turn: ($84) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $68</font>, SB calls $68.
River: ($220) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $114.45 (All-In)</font>, Hero calls $114.45.
Final Pot: $448.90