Re: Odds of winning the NCAA tournament
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I guess if you combined the % of the top 5-6 teams in the country you'd get 75%+ cumulative, so that's one way of looking at it.
But in a smaller tournament field (say 16 teams) you'd at least have these good teams always playing head to head to decide it.
Right now you have the top 16 teams in the nation with a legit chance and then another 48 that just add variance really.
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But even if they play head-to-head, its still a crap shoot. The difference between the 1st and 5th best teams in the country is really not that great. I doubt one team would win more than 60% of games if they played a large series of games. At least this year. Some years, some teams are incredibly dominant.
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