Re: Bay 101 Shooting Star $2000 buyin: Hand against Miami John
That 30% equity meantioned earlier is 24% tie and 6% win just to clarify, the actual equity is 24/2+6 or about 18%
I agree that Miami John has a solid image from what I remember from TV so I discount a lot of the smaller Axo. I haven't seen him play a big stack but your stack is significant enough to him that I think he would let an ace rag go.
I don't think the 2nd CR adds much strength to Johns range since your small turn bet looks so weak.
I call with AT
Board: Ad 5d Ah Ks
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.409% 28.91% 15.50% 1908 1023.00 { ATo }
Hand 1: 55.591% 40.09% 15.50% 2646 1023.00 { AA, 55, AQs-A2s, AQo-A9o }
And yes, explain the issue to Matt on the break if you win, and I would have called for him immediately when there was still time left on the clock since it would be too late if you lost. My limited experience with him in 2 previous decisions is that he is much more reasonable than most of the other floormen there.
|