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Old 03-11-2007, 11:01 PM
howzit howzit is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: ATM 500 max
Posts: 845
Default final thoughts and results.

ran a bunch of hand possibilities for 5th street:

if seat 2 has a made low, he's hovering around 60% of equity and i pick up about 8-10% by knocking out seat 1.

if seat 2 has a split pair or buried pair below nines, i have low-30% pot equity and pick up another 10% by knocking out seat 1.

so, by me c/r'ing on fifth, seat 2 is getting the best of it in most cases and i pick up on avg. 10% of equity by knocking out seat 1. not a money winner in the long run but I do pick up seat 1's dead money. a reraise on 3rd might isolate (prob. not SH'ed and in this particular game) but a c/r on fourth would be cheaper to isolate. like i said, i was shocked seat 1 called fourth so a c/r in the future would pretty much get me HU w/seat 2. not a great place to be, but if I get it HU and seat 2 bricks 5th, equity swings in my fav.

as played on fifth, a lead should save me that extra big bet when i do get scooped.

results: seat 2 had pocket deuces and made a low on seventh for a chop.
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