Re: Bottom set on on a very dry board, 4 players to the flop
The way I see it there are three extremely long shots here that would dictate this postflop action if button doesnt have a set.
-In the wildest, craziest, stupidest preflop play of the year, button decides to slowplay AA preflop, and BB has KK/QQ. (<1%)
-Feeling like trying out a new groundbreaking strategy, button turns a medium sized overpair that is probably no good into a tiny bluff to represent a set so that the donk will fold his bigger pair and the other guy will fold whatever he has. (<1%)
-Same as above, only button has air and decides this is his only shot to win the pot and its sooo big and maybe the other guys have nothing too or is good/bad enough to fold if they do have something. (still not breaking 5% i think)
Seems like a clear fold, although now im sure i'll be proven wrong because of the sarcastic tone of my post.
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