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Old 03-06-2007, 05:17 PM
Silent A Silent A is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Default Re: 5/10 HU flop troubles

If you had a gut shot or a pair to go with the nut flush I'd say push it back, no problem. Here though, villain only has $400 left in what would be a $2160 pot, so he's not folding anything.

You need 0.384 equity to push. You're 50/50 vs a random hand 44/56 vs a random Q (but no QQ). In fact, just about the only hand you should fold to is a set (28/72). But you're so far behind a set and so borderline against everything else that it's pretty close here. A lot depends on how aggressive this player is with his raises and what his button pre-flop raising standards are.

The nice thing about pushing here is that you send a message and you might learn a lot about how he plays.

I lean towards push and pray to the poker gods for a club.
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