Re: OT - settle a bet
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When I was playing the $22s I was about 50% sure that I could have beaten the $215s at that time. In hindsight, I'm about 90% certain that I could have beaten them at that time.
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When I was playing the $22s/33s I probably could have made a marginal winning at the $215s too. There was one big difference between then and now though: back then I was crushing the smaller stakes games. Now I'm beating smaller stakes cash games for a decent amount, but nothing near an equivalent to the 20 something % ROI I was pulling in the lower buyin SNGs when I first started out in SNGs.
Okay, the <1% was still probably an exageration especially since I have no experience playing that high, and i'm sure there are still plenty of donks in 10/20. I suspect that the skill difference between each level between 2/4 and 10/20 would quickly eat up a modest win rate at 2/4 though. Like if you lose 1-2 bb/100 over your previous win rate each time you move up you will probably be breaking even at best if you jump all the way up to 10/20.
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