View Single Post
  #27  
Old 02-28-2007, 09:04 PM
jjshabado jjshabado is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,879
Default Re: 2/4 B&M - Bet or checkraise monster flop that I capped preflop?

[ QUOTE ]
Pokerstove:

Player 1 JJ: 27.97%
Player 2 Random: 13.0%
Player 3 Random: 13.0%
Player 4 Random: 13.0%
Player 5 TT+,AQs+,KQs+AQo+: 32.97%

There ya go.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats WAY too optimistic. You're in a 2/4 B&M so without reads 3-better has AK, AA, KK, and maybe QQ. Thats it. Some players you could limit that even further to AA and KK, some people out to the range you gave.

You also can't just assume people have random hands. I think you can easily assume two different overcards are out there (and likely all three) in people's hands and probably an underpair. I can't see that capping this is a good idea.

And to whoever said you could cap almost on set value alone, you need a lot more players for that to be true (basically the whole table).
Reply With Quote