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Old 02-25-2007, 11:08 PM
Parlay Slow Parlay Slow is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
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Default Re: 3/6 OOP with a plan

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Considering that the primary value of my equity here is the ability to make top pair and to make a straight (and when the river bricks ace-ten high is rarely good), how do you figure I will be "severly outplayed"?

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The primary value can't come from your 11 primary outs, you aren't getting the right price. You need to have the best hand part of the time AND you have to see a showdown with it unimproved. And I think your implied odds are pretty bad, as you can't value bet any of your outs very well. The only effective way to extract money is from inducing large bets when you hit.

To look at it another way, since you seem to have a problem with the term outplayed, who do you think is going to play the hand better on the river, you or your opponent?

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Basic poker stove analysis vs his hand range tells me that, as I just said, there is very little value (ie check-calling a bet) in AT high being good unimproved on a blank river.

Also, where the FUCK did you get the idea that I "seem to have a problem with the term outplayed". Oh wait you're the guy that also said I was making up the fact that I had a plan because I'm embarrassed about check-calling. Sounds about right.
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