Re: Baby flush vs. slowplayer
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"Are we ahead >60% of the time?"
Gris,
You've mentioned this twice in the past two days with regards to river analysis. I know I know where this is from but I can't think of the source and I'm having problems deriving this number. What is this a reference to and where is the source?
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I think it's nothing more than the idea that you will put in three bets when you lose and two when you win.
I'm not convinced it's 100% correct because you lose a lot of value when the river gets checked through: betting and getting called is worth a lot, almost a whole big bet I suppose, but each successive bet that goes in has a little less equity for you, especially the third one.
Guy.
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