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Old 02-20-2007, 06:43 PM
rageotones rageotones is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: panhandlin\'
Posts: 1,484
Default Re: I didn\'t protect my hand so I\'ll just play two random cards

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If you're holding an 8 high (which is -EV against 2 random cards if you both see the river) and someone offers to give you $12 in place of running the hands, you should obviously take it.


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No. The BB did not have a hand. $6 limpers, $12 raise by the 87, and the $3 blinds. If I'm the 87, it's "Give me $21 and let's move on to the next hand or I call your raise, you have no hand, and I win your remaining stack." The 87s had all the power, why should he even consider the BB's offer?

Even looking at it from what happened:
$42 for 87h to call
...pot becomes total of $115 ( 2*54 + $6 from limpers + $1 sb)
87s is 47.936% vs random two cards.
$115 * .47936 = $55.12
$55.12 - $42 call = $13.13 "profit" vs $12 "profit" taking his $12 back.

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maybe i'm crazy, but i'll take $12 with 0 variance any day.
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