[DustinG]

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I think it might be best if we just peek who we think might be getting lynched in the next few days. We aren't going to have any useful information until we can start putting peeks together with lynches, and if we all peek different people than that assures that we get the least amount of information about who is useful. But its still going to take at least 2, and possibly 3 or more lynches of people that we have seen before we can figure anything out about ourselves.

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I think this is wrong - we should be following pretty normal seer strategy and peeking people that we expect to be alive near endgame. Since we don't have role reveal on death we don't actually ever have 100% peeked anything because we can't KNOW that someone is a real seer or an insane seer - they could just be a useless seer that ran well. The best information the village can have about anyone at endgame is that someone is either more likely or less likely to be a wolf based on previous peeks and the more times that player has been peeked the more likely we are to draw an accurate conclusion.

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The problem that I have with this is that we then can't determine who the real/insane seers are if everyone is trying to find people for the endgame. Obviously in practice, some of our picks are getting lynched or killed before then....

You think that we will never be able to determine who the real/insane ones are, but I don't think thats true. If you are useless, its not a 50/50 shot, but even if it was that means to be right 3 straight times is only a 12.5% chance. But in actuality, an useless peeks based on a percentage of who is remaining, so I think after 3 peeks and corresponding lynches, we can start to have a pretty good idea. How useful this is going to be early in the game though I don't know, since obviously we want our seers sticking around. You might be right...