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Old 02-10-2007, 03:35 PM
Abbaddabba Abbaddabba is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 827
Default Re: Winners, losers and variance

If we start talking about people with unrealistically high winrates, then your conclusions are for sure valid. A 5BB/100 winner should almost never have a few thousand hand stretch where they are down.

But winrates like that are unattainable online these days, unless you go down to the penny tables.

Even 2BB/100 is unattainable for most people who seem to THINK that they're 2BB/100 winners.


Winrates tend to be very low relative to standard deviations. Especially for mid to high stakes players.

If you're dealing with winrates that are around, if not below 1BB/100 with a standard deviation exceeding 20BB/100, any given session means a whole lot less.
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