Re: AK NL400
If you assume villain only calls preflop with JJ+, AK
and he only calls postflop with JJ+.
56% you'll be called postflop and you have 18% equity against JJ+.
called post and win... 56% x 18% x $498 = $56
called post and lose 56% x 82% x -330 = -$151
villain folds... 44% x 216 = $95
95 + 56 - 151 = ZERO [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
If villain only does this with QQ+ then the equity goes up a little bit. If he will do it with worse pairs, then equity goes down.
Someone please check my math.
I would think a fold is better, just from a variance standpoint, and depending on how many pocket pairs villain is likely to have called with preflop.
|