Re: JJ on K76
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I dump on the flop without information.
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I'd be curious to hear more. I'm thinking that, at this level, from the BB, this persons donk means 2nd/3rd pair or draw enough of the time to call and see how safe the turn is.
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How often do you think 'often enough' is?
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Uhhhhh. . . . well, I guess it needs to be ~88% of the time for me to call. And that's just to peel one. So now it's not looking so good. I think I may be spewing more than I'm admitting to myself. Crap.
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Nah -- you got it backwards. You need to be ahead 1 in 7.5 for this to make sense. Assuming a turn bet and no river (I'm making this up) you need to be ahead 1.5 out of 4.75 (less rake).
Are you ahead here 1/3 of the time?
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