[threads13]

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Hm, I keep thinking and thinking about it. If he 3-bets, he has KK nearly always. So, the problem is, if you want to take this line, you have to fold to a river 3-bet, imo. This line allows you to make this +EV.

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no no no no non nononononono

wtf.... if we have called down the turn when he 3bets the river we have cap=call>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>
>>fold
people like me 3bet this river with AK 100% of the time.

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If we think this is the type of player that will 3-bet the river with AK, then he will probably cap the flop with it and continue to lead. Why not just put the raise in there?

You are laying 2:1 odds on your river raise. If you raise and get 3-bet, that cost you 2 bets to fold. If you raise and get called, you gain 1. If you are going to raise this river and get 3-bet the only hands you can put your opponent on that you beat is AK or a bluff. You have to discount the chances of either of these without a read.