Re: 2/4 JTs hits flush on river vs. paired board
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Meh...I would've 3bet the flop, but he gave you the free card anyway. I'm a sucker for straight flush draws.
I do like taking the free card here. It's not like he check/called the flop, so I seriously doubt that you have any folding equity whatsoever with a turn bet.
River is suprising. You don't give a read on UTG which makes it pretty difficult to put him on a hand, but really the only things you're worried about are AQ (maybe, from a passive player), Kx [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], or Q4/Q7. Q4/Q7 seem unlikely, and it also seems unlikely that a passive player is going to check/raise an AQQ flop vs. a preflop raiser with the nut flush draw...so really it's a question of whether he flopped the boat or he's just overplaying trips.
Against an unknown I just call the river c/r as well. If I'm good, it's time for a note.
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So you 3-bet the flop because you have 12 (theoretical) outs and that induces a turn check more often?
What if he caps you on the flop?
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