Re: AQ ez?
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I would probably fold to the flop cap, you have 2 outs, or 0 outs.
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You have 5 outs vs. KK (6 combos) on the flop, 2 outs vs. AA (3 combos), and 0 outs vs. QQ (1). The weighted outs is 3.6 outs. I believe this is the maximum # of outs, which is borderline to calling, getting 13.5:1 (bb). So we need to look at the other factors for and against calling.
For: AQ is within sbs range ON THE FLOP (and still weighted almost equally with other hands), it is 4 handed, UTG is on tilt.
Against: BIGGEST: If Turn and River brick off, we'll probably make a call down, cutting into our effective odds on the flop call.
Also, we do still need to worry about UTG having a better hand a reasonable percentage of the time, significantly cutting into our outs.
I do think the flop is a fold, but it's close.
On the turn, when sb fires again, we're crushed. I can't seem a sane player playing AQ like this.
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