Re: Superbowl Player Props
I definitely wouldn't take Addai under 16.5 carries... If the game goes as expected (which almost never happens in these big hyped games) then the Colts win by 7 to 10. While I don't see the Colts really getting the running game going, if the Colts have a lead they will be handing the ball off not wanting to risk the huge turnover.
I'm taking Manning over 22.5 and over 273 yds. I think the Bears will pay close attention to Dallas Clark so I'm shying away from those as well. With that said, I see the Colts consistently moving the ball racking up yardage as usual. If the Bears take a lead, the Manning overs look pretty good to me.
As you already said though, everybody always loves the over when typically the under has better value.
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