Re: river overbet shove for value.
Bakes--
Great. You aren't even losing much value from a K; Villains will fold slightly more often but will generally either outthink or not-think themselves into paying off regardless of bet size.
I often catch myself overestimating both my opponents' sensitivity to bet size and the importance of the metagame, and these are obviously the two biggest reasons to bet less here. Very often you're giving up too much by making the smaller bet.
--Nate
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