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"he plays 30% of hands, he must be losing" isn't really a good argument.
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Agreed. I absolutely believe it's possible to be a winning player with a 30. I think for most people, it isn't a viable strategy, as your post-flop skills have to be excellent.
The key boils down to what the other Barron (okay, he was here first, so the original Barron) discovers with his data. I know some (the other/original Barron included) have said that this isn't skill, but I'm not entirely convinced.
Yet. Even though it probably is either variance ahoy or collusion ahoy in some fashion.
Barron Vangor Toth
www.BarronVangorToth.com