Thread: Variance
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  #110  
Old 01-20-2007, 05:01 AM
Micturition Man Micturition Man is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 805
Default Re: Variance

Hmm. Aba, not to be an anti-fanboy, but you really don't think you've been running well at PLO in the last few months?

It's not like I've been taking notes but I have seen you go what seems like 8 for 10 or so in 100k+ pots where you were coinflippish.

The previous poster overstated the case somewhat with the comment about 15-20 coinflip pots going the other way, but that kind of swing is hardly necessary to make a big dent in your results.

I have no idea what kind of downswings you've had in PLO but given that you play in some tough games they should be very large. Those +100 to +300k days should be interspersed with lots of -100k and -200k and some -400k sessions. And eventually you're going to have a -1M streak.

When that happens will it be because you suddenly started playing badly?
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