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Old 01-18-2007, 01:15 PM
gooooodie gooooodie is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 6
Default Re: 400nl - LOL fold AK preflop?

JrJordan:
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UTG will call with QQ+,AKs,AKo (though I expect that's wider than actuality. I think it's really much closer to just AA and KK). That's the top 2.5% of his hands, meaning he folds 5/6 of the time. UTG+1 likely calls with the same range, but it’s narrower due to his preflop reraise so he folds 2/3 of the time. I really can’t put button on a good folding range here, so I’ll just say he folds ¾ of the time since he calls with a lot of garbage.

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When QQ+, AKo and AKs are the top 2,5 % of his possible holdings, does he have those hands 1/6 of the time? You hold one A and one K yourself, so there are less possible combinations for AA/KK and AKo/AKs. Am I wrong about this?

Like you mentioned it should also be considered that you have good FE against AKo and AKs (depending on your stats). What do you think UTG and UTG+1 put you on after you pushed their raise and reraise? Are they calling to split with AKo?
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