[ike]

I'm pretty sure this is huge +EV for the player. Post-Oak's calculations are pertinent to the chance he's up >400 at the end. The problem under consideration is basically like a risk of ruin problem in reverse; he just has to hit +400 once. Somebody better at stat (or less stoned) than me could probably do the calcs. Lets assume ev 5PTBB/100 (very very conservative for a 10/20 player at .5/1) stdev 55PTBB/100 (this is my actual stat, in bigger games, according to PT, does this sound about right?), 70 hands/tablehour = 1750 hands.