Re: NCAA Bowl Thread
Diablito,
I'm not really sure. We can't really know if the coach did some sort of EV calculation (he wouldn't think of it that way, but basically the same thing) both times or just went on some sort of gut feeling that was wrong in terms of maximizing his chance to win.
The main edge comes from having an extra down if you need a touchdown. I'm actually curious now how big that edge is.
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