[FatedEquity]

I don't like raising for a free showdown in this spot. There are several reasons that dissuade me:

i) Usually with this play, you make a raise because you have decided to call the turn and river anyway. I don't think we are calling the river here often enough to warrant placing the two bets on the turn. The hand currently has little showdown value.

ii) Even if he doesn't 3-bet, the villain has demonstrated that he is capable of donking after a raise. If he donks the river, then our play has lost much of its purpose.

iii) Raising has few additional benefits. It is not probable enough that the villain will fold to the raise, and our draw is devalued by the board making it less likely we will safely collect an additional bet on the river when it is completed.