Re: TPTK but there\'s a good chance he has an overpair
I think this is a pretty standard preflop fold.
MP1 has a PFR of 5% after 80 hands. I imagine that his range is something like TT+, AJ+,KQ. Against that range, we are in bad shape.
I made a Pokerstove simulation against someone raising 7% (not very different from 5%).
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 64.2592 % 62.69% 01.57% { TT+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 2: 35.7408 % 34.17% 01.57% { A9s }
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