[MrMon]

My prediction is, unless the Academy decides to finally award Scorsese Best Director for "The Departed", Greengrass is going to take the director award, regardless of who wins Best Picture. "United 93" was just too critically acclaimed a film to ignore, and "World Trade Center" proved how difficult 9/11 movies are to pull off. There are no obvious acting performances to nominate in the movie, and screenplay is most likely out, although it might get a nomination. It's probably too much of a downer to beat "Dreamgirls", the kind of female friendly film that has come to win the Oscar lately, so the obvious way to honor it is to give the award to Greengrass. And if you think about it, it truly is a director's film, and the best direction of the year.