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Old 12-10-2006, 11:32 AM
Keepitsimple Keepitsimple is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Göteborg
Posts: 3,368
Default Re: 10/20. Overbet bluff in barrels in a paired board.

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I think you should have bet a tiny bit more on the turn so your bet on the river is an exact pot bet. If you had decided to bluff no matter what.

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Keep it simple right? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Why do you like these amounts better? My gut tells me the slight overbet folds more hands on the river while the fold equity on the turn is not great anyway. I am curious?

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If you do a calculation on how many hands its optimal to bluff Im quite certain that you will find that you can bluff the most amount of hands profitable by designing the last bet to be pot. I havent done this calc though.

FWIW, I believe your betsizing is better than close to pot on the turn and then less than pot on the river but as I said before I havent checked.

Ps. I dont think you should base your betsizes on this type of data but it might be worthwhile to know the optimal betsizing so you dont stay so far away from it vs a good player.
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