Thread: OT: Analysis of my recent results (long)
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Old 12-08-2006, 02:36 AM
blackize blackize is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Maryland
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Default Re: OT: Analysis of my recent results (long)
[ QUOTE ]

okay, thats nice, and if i won 60% of my coinflips with the PP then i would make more money than winning 55% of the time, but mathematically that doesnt work out. so what is the point of this statement

[/ QUOTE ]

How long do you think it is possible to win coinflips at a rate of 48%? It's entirely likely that if you play enough poker this winrate of coinflips will continue for hundreds or thousands of hands. Since most of the times we are in coinflips are times when it has opportunity to drastically affect our finish distribution one way or the other this is a rather large deal and as Pineapple has shown could drastically reduce one's ROI.

This all goes back to what I had to say about sample size. With so much of your ROI riding on so few hands an extended downswing can really change your finish distribution and make your TRUE ROI impossible to determine.