[jedi]

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I have checked the odds of 8s vs various hands and I saw I was at worst like 15% to win the hand, just assuming noone is pushing with 8x or another 88 to completely wreck my chances. I'd say the avg % for me to win the hand is like 18,19,20%ish, assuming I never have the biggest pair in the hand. Is that a bad assumption? Also, I feel like at least MP2 and MP3 dont have me beat that often, depending on the player, I can see the call with any pair and any decent suited ace. Maybe I just underestimate their ranges, but I think that many people see the allin and just decide to try to double or triple up first hand(kinda like me).


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4 players in the hand, and you're just 15% to win it? Bad, bad, bad. Let's say that one player has an overpair (which seems likely), and the other 2 are donking with overcards. If they're not matching up with each other, you're in really bad shape here. I guess it's not too bad to have the go big or go bust attitude, but do it when you've got some pot equity.

I suck at MTTs, but even I think this is pretty horrible.