Re: Aces up in trouble
It's kind of hard to imagine he has anything other than other than 88 down. Maybe he's got the other two Aces down, but that also leaves you with two outs.
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Maybe he started with (84ss)Ts and made two pair on 5th??
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And you said suits didn't matter. If the Four that brought it in and the Four and the Eight he has on board are all of different suits from his door card, then (48)Ts is a possible starting hand for him. Let's say it is. In that case, there's one way he can have 48 down, one way he can have AA down, and three ways he can have 88 down. I think we can discount AA some since he probably would have raised coming in with it and might not jam with it. And maybe discount the 84 since he might not have capped with two crappy pair. There's an equity calculation in here that I don't feel like doing right now, but I'm guessing that folding was probably best.
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