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Old 11-23-2006, 05:12 PM
plako plako is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 60
Default Re: PLO100 flop agression with plenty of non nut outs

wazz and guilt_trip:
I agree that the flop bet is generally bad idea in this situation. I tried to maximise my fold equity, if I get a raise by reraising if possible. On the other hand, I wouldn't be too concerned, if I get several calls because of the outs I had and my bet was relatively small. As wazz said I definetly should have had more outs to the nuts to bet this flop. Check-raise is good idea also. Unfortunately I've been too agro and my check-raises didn't get much respect from CO and UTG.

I think that pot sized bet on turn is little bit better than check. I really want to see fold here, even if it is quite unlikely to happen. If he calls I don't mind it that much. He doesn't have much left after the call and I get quite cheap LAG advertising. I've always some outs.

If results interest. Opponent did have a big drawing hand, but my equity on turn was still good:
10[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

odds flop:
pokenum -o tc 8d 7s 5s - ts 9s 7h 5h -- ks 8s 6c
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 8s 6c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 5s Tc 8d 234 28.54 421 51.34 165 20.12 0.386
Ts 9s 7h 5h 421 51.34 234 28.54 165 20.12 0.614

Odds Turn:
pokenum -o tc 8d 7s 5s - ts 9s 7h 5h -- ks 8s 6c 3c
Omaha Hi: 40 enumerated boards containing Ks 8s 6c 3c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 5s Tc 8d 21 52.50 13 32.50 6 15.00 0.600
Ts 9s 7h 5h 13 32.50 21 52.50 6 15.00 0.400
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