Re: Do I give him credit, or did everyone read HoH?
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He probably has a real hand. Theere is a good chance you are dominated, but he could have 99 or AQ-AK. Plus you have pot odds. You are calling 12.5 K to win 29.5K, so you are getting 2.3-1 odds. I think this is a call.
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I don't get the rationale.
You are probably at least 50% to be dominated, 4-1 dog.
You probably have a 5% chance to be dominating, a 1-4 fave.
You're probably 45% chance to be a small fave in a race with AK or AQ, 45-55 or so.
How does that equate to justifying a 2.3-1 call?
I'm not saying I muck here all the time, but it looks that way unless the opponent has shown a tendency to push with less.
In the little UB MTTs where I'm usually lurking, my estimates show a big preflop reraise is about a 1-2 chance to be AA, KK, QQ or AK.
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