View Single Post
  #12  
Old 11-08-2006, 06:09 PM
Befolder Befolder is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Heading back to black
Posts: 2,311
Default Re: Postponing a raise to the turn

[ QUOTE ]


I planned to raise only when the turn comes T or lower and I have 2 opponents here. It's not only "him".

[/ QUOTE ]

In this particular hand, we really should be looking at it different. We want to raise here to protect our hand against those cards that you fear on the turn. There are a lot of them that might slow us down or lose us the pot. So we raise to:

Make them more likely to fold. Overcards are correct in calling the one bet, but not the two. If they still want to call two, we've done our job in making it a -EV play for them, even if the next card is murder.

As far as our pot equity, it doesnt' change unless the amount of players drop, but our chances or winning the hand AND our equity increase if even one person folds.

Flop equity 5 players divided by 1 pot = 20%.
One player folds = 4/1 = 25%
Two players fold = 3/1 = 33%

Plus, that turn K looks a lot less scary, the fewer players around to catch it, thus the increase in winning the hand. What was once their outs, become our outs, at least partially.
Reply With Quote