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Old 11-07-2006, 04:04 AM
Deviance Deviance is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 34
Default Re: KTs Versus an Early Limp-Raiser

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I would have folded after the limpers flop bet. I just don't see your hand going anywhere against hands he could have limp-raised the flop with.

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The pot is 11-1 after the limper leads the flop. Assume he typically limp-reraises with pocket aces and pocket kings. Versus aces we have 5 outs and versus kings we have 2.

Since we win half the time he has aces but lose the other half to kings, we assign our K outs as partial (0.5). Thus, our total outs are (0.5x3)+(1x2)= 3.5.

The threshold for a 3.5 out draw is 45/3.5= ~13-1. I think we can continue here on the flop.

Btw, if it helps, assume the early position player is a tricky thinking opponent. It is essentially the impression I had on him having played with him a few times.
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