Re: The Rake in Low Limit Hold \'em
3 reasons why it would be difficult to break out above the 1BB/hr. rate:
1) Over long periods of time you will eventually catch a long cold streak of stinking cards. In no fold em hold em you can't win without some cards.
2) You will ocassionally sit down with other talented players.
3) You will ocassionally sit down with untalented players who get hot.
(I won't even talk about the non-Phil Ivey factor. By that I mean that you play "less than optimally" for a period of time.)
These three (four?)things bring should unfortunately, bring long term win rates back to earth.
I also have 1 year of 2/4 B&M data to back it up. The only real upside is jackpots. With lots of playing time, you should catch a "fair share" of that money. I average about 10/hrs. week, and had 5 table shares and 2 20%'s that I've paid for with my rakes. But at low stakes, the JP makes a big difference in net gains. Commerce has an "easy" JP, any Aces full. For the places with Aces full of T+, the JP will be much larger, but much less frequent. Without the JP, I think the 1BB rule remains close to right for a year's worth of play. If you can do much better than that, time to move up!
You should know better SixForty - I've seen you play 3/6! Hope all is well with you.
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