Re: A hand vs peter_rus
Fold the river.
What hands are he checking with on the turn?
- Showdownable hands that don't want to see a checkraise
...small-medium diamonds
...maybe top pair or set-hands.
What hands are he betting the turn with?
- Hands that don't care if you checkraise
...No pair no draw nothing
...Big diamonds
......And even then, he might bet the turn with TP or a set.
What does this mean? That his river bet is for value and is a medium diamond. If he didn't bet the turn with no diamond, he's probably not going to bet the river now with no diamond. But if you really think he could, then checkraise is better than check/call.
Basically, my river plays would be:
check/fold > check/raise > check/call
I personally don't think a river bet does anything, because he's either got a diamond he was showing down cheaply and you lose, or now he's going to call you thinking it's better than 33% you have no diamond (simple math/logic should dictate that to be the case)
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