Re: How bad was it that I hedged here?
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Well now it’s a null point. But at the time I felt that if the Patriots only got a FG on that possession the line would go to +300ish and If they scored a TD it would only got to +520ish felt it was 50/50 this would happen. I think actually if I didn’t have a bet on the Pats I would have probably still bet the +460 on its own because I thought it was high. Personally I thought the line was giving to much probability of the Pats punching it in for 6. I was watching the live betting looking for value on a total bet and the thought of hedging this didn’t even really cross my mind till I seen +460 and at the point in time I couldn’t resist.
Either way I'm thrilled right now. I live month to month with all my income coming from gambling both as a player and an affiliate.
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This is the key. If you think the new bet is +EV on its own, then it's perfectly fine to make regardless of whether it's hedging a previous wager.
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