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Old 10-23-2006, 02:12 PM
chev9 chev9 is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Boston
Posts: 299
Default Re: *** Official Arbitrage Thread*** 10/23-10/29

Maybe I'm naive, but after 5 plus years of good experiences on sportsbook, I am not worried about them. Anyway, I can understand some people's hesitation.

General question, what would you consider true odds to be of any basketball team hitting such a number exactly? I'm picturing somewhere between 5% and 8% in my mind.

I haven't looked at all of them closely yet, but I assume there will be more of these available. I looked at the Celts because I actually really like their over, so I ended up putting more on that side of this.

A buddy of mine found 5 of these types of middles and half-middles at the start of the baseball season, and I was surprised how close they were. Three of them were in play on the final weekend, and one hit (KC), so he had a decent return for the season. Could just be variance, but I think more often than not teams are in the vicinity of their expected numbers.
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