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Old 10-18-2006, 02:37 PM
kindling kindling is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: The Cliffs of Insanity
Posts: 364
Default Taking a coinflip on Bubble of FT in Stars $10R ($35K Guaranteed)?

10 players left in the Stars $35K guaranteed, so we're waiting for 1 more player to bust out to get to the final table. I'm playing over my bankroll, so this will already be my biggest online cash yet. I'm currently 8th in chipcount, and my M has dropped to 7 (with 5 at my table, it's effectively 4), so I need to make a move soon. Villain is 9th, has an M of 4.2 (eff 2.3), so he's probably desperate. If I remember, I'd been fairly tight for a while, not getting many good hands. I'd been willing to play a little passively, moving up in the payouts by letting others bust out. I figure he'll push from the button with a pretty wide range, which I believe I'm getting odds to call.

So options are:
Fold - M drops to 6.5, and I hope to find a better spot fast or someone else busts out.
Call
- & Lose - M drops to 3, and I'm all in pretty soon.
- & Win - M increases to 12, knock out 10th player, get to FT

I wanted to treat this as a SNG and plug it into ICM, but I don't have a calculator that can handle payouts to all 9 or 10 places. Can SNGPT be adjusted to handle this?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t40000 (5 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG (t726416)
MP (t687789)
Button (t291040)
SB (t860984)
Hero (t499176)

Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t289040</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero ?

So do you gamble here or hope for a better spot in the next orbit?

Thanks,
Kindling
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