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Old 09-29-2006, 03:39 PM
Performify Performify is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sports Betting forum
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Default Re: Theory question: How many lines are \"off\"?

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if you trust your abilities as a handicapper, and you analyze every single game each week, and are willing to take any edge, no matter how small, what percentage of the games should you probably be placing bets on?

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My $0.02:

For NFL football sides, I do this: I analyze every game each week and pick at anything over a certain threshold of edge.

For my "system" I find about half of the NFL action in a given week differs in a statistically significant way from 50-50 - say seven games a week - and i'd say only three to five of those are measurably off (i.e greater than 52%) enough to warrant action. Sometimes more games are "off", more often less.

Note that I do not include totals in any of this, this is just sides.
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