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Old 09-27-2006, 01:02 PM
Josh. Josh. is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 20,208
Default Re: channeling my inner TWP

i kind of agree with TWP. this is a parlay, but not a particularly bad one. button probably doesn't have QQ+ (of which there are only 2 combinations) and might fold JJ-TT. MP has a wide opening range and he should be calling with only QQ+. also, you ahve the Ac so no one can call you with the nut flush draw. so i think you're taking this down pretty often. maybe 75% vs the button and 90% vs MP, which would be about breakeven under big jim's model, maybe slightly +EV. but i still wouldn't do it, considering that you're a huge variance magnet to begin with. but it's a good thought
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