[Sherman]

Okay, now that I re-read this, it seems like a math problem. I've done some analysis.

If I push, I get an overcaller about 18.2% of the time with the range of QQ+,AK (2.6% x 7 players left to act).

I put UTG+1 on the range of 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,A2o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo (is this too wide)?

So, 81.8% of the time I get no overcalls. Against UTG+1's range I have 59.7% equity in a total pot of 7300 which is t4360. Compared to my risk of 3100, I gain t1260.

I am going to assume if I get called, there is only 1 caller (18.2%).

Against UTG+1's range and the over-pusher's range (AK,QQ+) I have 29.72% equity in a pot of t13064, which equals 3882 total equity. Subtracting the amount risked, this results in a loss of t2100.

So, -t2100 x .182 = -t382.2
and t1260 x .818 = +t1031

Adding the two together, the move has an expectation of t649. I would appreciate it someone could check my numbers to see if this is correct. Thanks.

Sherm